You are in the company of Roger Warren Evans, Welsh socialist lawyer and company director, on a journey to work out a new socialist order capable of generating equality and freedom for the world.  Nothing less will do.
   

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Multiple Differential Uncertainty


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      051107  Make sure you have not missed
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Week 45  Monday
7 November 2005


Pluses & Minuses

Tony Blair is now a particularly dangerous man.  His key projects are manifestly failing all around him, and he can see his "legacy" crumbling on all sides. Yet for a thousand reasons there is no effective challenger, from within the Labour Party, for his office. 

  • For him, there are few "checks and balances", he is free to attempt anything to save his legacy.  He is now deeply discredited on Iraq, although in my judgement he is right on a number of other fronts, in defiance of his Party.

Other factors work to strengthen him.  His own natural brilliance as a communicator is still a trump card.  Gordon Brown has now been too long on the shelf, and his morale is clearly broken, it shows on his face. And if the Tories elect David Cameron, Gordon Brown will in any event be finished, as an asset to the Labour Party: MPs will want to skip a generation, and match youth with youth.

That means that Blair can continue in power for as long as he likes, particularly if he avoids controversial legislation. Within our system of parliamentary democracy, he enjoys the awesome power of the democratic incumbent. Very few MPs are willing to sacrifice their livelihoods, in a bid to depose him.  It is the penalty we pay for having a political salariat, in which MPs must vote for their personal financial survival.  Very few of them could achieve comparable earnings in any other occupation.

So it remains true that Blair will go at a time of his own choosing.  My own position on "Blair" is an odd one: Apart from Iraq, ASBOs and civil liberties, I support the broad sweep of what Blair is trying to do - in Europe, on the NHS, on education, on pensions - but strategic flaws bedevil the detail, and doom him to failure, at every turn.

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NB This following item was last week's attempt, penned on 31 October, to get back to my editorial role - unsuccessful, in the event, but I record it by way of E-Archive - this week, I try again...  RWE

Halloween!

This strange day marks my return to the editing desk.  It is also the day when I say goodbye to my car: it is being towed away for scrap, this very afternoon. I have decided to ditch it (after 287,000 miles of loyal service) take to the bus-ways and foot-ways of this world.  My old 1992-model Mercedes 190 has served me well, but will now cost £1,000 to get through the 2005 MOT, and I have decided to do without a car.  I reckon I will "save" £70 per week, and make full use of my free Welsh Pensioner bus pass. I have been a car driver-owner without a break from age 17-70, but now is the time to acknowledge the force of the environmental arguments, and to scrap the car - wish me luck!


Never miss Steve Bell! His cartoons, from The Guardian - his wit and perception illuminate the absurdities of the political scene... Our political life is diminished by the absence, in mainstream politics. of leaders with capacity to deliver the same punch.

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Weblog Mining

What were we thinking about, at this time in October - last year, two years ago, three years ago?  With modern web-logging, we can check it out - a new form of modern history becomes possible.  This is how the world looked to me, at this time of year, in  -

2002 - 2003 - 2004

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      *Recent topics

Asylum Management my reforms >>>

Turkey should join Europe >>>

What New Orleans means for UK >>>

Josef Stalin and Flat Tax  >>>

Corporate Theft by Proxy >>>

What do interest rates mean? >>>

Labour Party my resignation >>>

New principle Public Primacy >>>

The Power of Private Property >>>

Drop the school-leaving age >>>

Against Unreasonable Inequality >>>

Abolish Wrongful Dismissal >>>

Adjustment Pay for every worker >>>

Pay Guardianship Allowance >>>

And read my Big Theory itself, at Multiple Differential Uncertainty...  Or try my snappier and more practical analysis of the Corporations and the Left Coming to Terms

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Having discovered this remarkable NASA website, linked with the Hubble Telescope and the NASA Mars exploration vehicles, with its current photographs from outer space, I am reluctant to let it go

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Hit Counter  I am forced to apologise, to eat humble pie.  Many of you will have been disappointed readers this month: I have achieved only two editorial changes within the entire month, such has been the pressure of my asylum work. And that was reflected in a poor hit-count, at 1,122 - indeed the lowest October hit-count of the last three years...

  • 2002     431 
    2003   1184  
    2004   1365 
    2005   1122

Web-editing is a fiercely competitive game: we are all competing for your time, and this month I have failed - but I will return! 

RWE Webmaster


The Fabians are a great, enlightened left-wing political community some 7,000-strong - and we have many skills among our number.

Would you like to be added to the monthly Fabian Update e-mail list? Just e-mail Fabian Research

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I love the online newspapers, which are my access to the world - share them with me - click through to their here - they are all just a click away from your desk..

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051107  Make sure you have not missed
the previous edition 
Check it out   
And the
one before that?   
Other recent topics highlighted here

Week 45  Monday
7 November 2005

 

 
       
 

 
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- is that a deal?  Roger WE