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Week 22
Saturday 31 May 2003


Toddites
Unite!

I have been converted to Toddism.  I have become a Toddite.  Nothing to to do with Luddites. Everything to do with the followers of Emmanuel Todd, a radical French demographer who perceives (it seems to me) the greater truths behind the stage-scenery of today's international politics.


That sinking feeling…

Blair’s spirits must have slumped when he read Lord Goldsmith’s 26 March Opinion on the illegality of the Coalition’s post-war occupation of Iraq.  The text of that Opinion is published in full by the New Statesman this week.  The reasoning is specious and facile, and illuminates the even greater fragility of Goldsmith’s professional “legitimation” of the War itself, three weeks’ earlier.  His reliance upon the “authority” of a time-expired UN Resolution of 1990 was roundly rejected by all other lawyers who considered it (see Rabinder Singh QC’s reasoning) Indeed, I have not discovered one single lawyer who thinks his reasoning was sound.  Not one.  Goldsmith, owing everything to Downing Street patronage, had dutifully blessed the War, and paid the price of his preferment.   

But in this second Opinion he took his revenge, and clearly sought to retrieve his professional reputation, which was otherwise in tatters.  He refuses to bless the peace.  Indeed, given the post-war straitjacket he imposes on the Coalition, it is remarkable that he gave no prior warning of these constraints, at the time of his War Blessing. 

His effectively tells Blair that the Coalition will not be able to proceed lawfully to rebuild Iraq at all without a further Security Council resolution.  True, the obliqueness of the language obscures the position – but Blair would have understood perfectly.  Sadly for Goldsmith, his attempted redemption (as with Clare Short) came too late to retrieve his reputation.  Timing is everything, in politics.  He is now a lame duck Attorney, and will not recover his authority.  

  • Expect to see him re-shuffled.

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Rowan's
coming!

The Archbishop of Canterbury has accepted "our" invitation to visit my home-town Mumbles, where he spent many of his formative years as a young priest.  He will be here in Swansea, on Saturday 21 June. 

Yet what does "our" mean? Who are "we"?  In this case, the Community Council of Mumbles, the elected "parish" council for my home-town - of which I am proud to be a Member, Councillor.  We acted on behalf of our proud community.

Elected bodies do so much more than provide services - they represent their communities, articulate, symbolise, bring thoughts to public expression, convey mourning, mark celebration.  On 21 June, we shall throw a great party, for Dr Rowan Williams.  When the next New Labour Cabinet Minister tells us that local government is all about the efficient delivery of services, I shall scream..

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Flagging
World Economy

The reason why global economic prospects are poor is precisely that ordinary consumers - in Europe, America and Japan - are genuinely worried about the future, and the monumental mess that Bush and Blair have created, in the Middle East. Successful suicide bomb attacks, flight bans, and the excessive media coverage they all receive, add to the sense of of personal anxiety, throughout the world.  American aggressive behaviour, while satisfying the baying mobs at home, is unsettling the rest of the world, tuned in to CNN. They may not all understand what is going on, but they can pick up from TV coverage that all is not going well.  Global systemic uncertainty is now a prime cause of weak consumer demand.  PS  On a lighter note, I thought this was a very pithy cartoon, from the business pages of The Guardian.
  • When will our leaders ever learn?

 



The International
Optimism Agenda

Globalisation has one consequence which no UK political party has yet grasped.  It is that we must now cast all our manifestoes, both on the Right and on the Left, in terms which make sense globally. “Politics in one country” is no longer enough.  I have made my own attempt to shape such an international political agenda, which would bring hope to all the peoples of the world...

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Public trading, a real third way

The Government's "modernisation" of the welfare state is still seen in terms of "privatisation".  The spectre of Margaret Thatcher looms, and that awful corrosive doubt about her motives. 

That is wrong.  While there are indeed proper opportunities for conventional privatisation, the primary drive should be the shift to more flexible, more responsive, more local forms of dedicated public company

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Special Footnote

I love the online newspapers, which are my access to the world - share them with me - click through to their Homepages from here -

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I love stamps...

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I love stamps...


Election,
not Referendum

Nothing can conceal the failure of Blair’s management of European issues.  True, his European credibility has been grievously damaged by his Iraq misjudgments.  That must have undermined his self-confidence, when he communes with his shaving mirror. But he should not even consider holding a Referendum, either on the Euro or the constitutional changes.  He should bide his time, and call a General Election.

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Drugs:
Supply Interdiction

US attempts to interfere in Canadian politics, to prevent a sensible minor liberalisation of the drugs laws, will backfire.  It is American evangelicals who were behind the first campaign in 1919, and they are still blocking liberal reform.  Will Hutton this week highlights the baleful influence upon American civilisation of the Religious Right.   We should adopt a strategy of supply interdiction, and challenge the Americans to follow.


Our own housing crisis
n'est-ce pas?

This is not what you think.  This is is no attack on Tony Blair for his Presidential proclivities.  It is to commend to Labour the ingenuity of Charles de Gaulle, when faced with the task of reviving the residential rented sector in France, in 1958.  The absurdity of the Government's mortgage subsidies to young teachers and other public professionals in London must be apparent. 

We should not be crucifying our young people by forcing them, early in their adult lives, into crippling mortgage commitments What they need above all is good-quality, reasonably priced rental accommodation.

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"The voluntary Party in the country..."

I am indebted to the perceptive Tory defector Crispin Blunt (MP for Reigate) for this telling phrase.  Reporting on his consultations within Tory circles, he affirmed his belief that "the voluntary Party in the country" had lost faith in Ian Duncan Smith.

That terminology reflects my view of the future for political Parties.  There are in practice two political forces in play, and they should both be given political expression. There should be "lay" citizens' Parties, engaging the hearts and minds of activists throughout society, and differentiated from the professional Party systems of the new salariat. 

The Party salariats should regulate their own business, as "parliamentary parties", getting on with the business of Government and Opposition, forging new links with the voluntary parties in the country.  Our political systems would be diversified and enriched if such a dual system were to be developed.

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I love stamps...


Try BBC News, the public service website for the best and quickest access to the news, as well as a huge political data resource, the BBC is unbeatable

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I am sure you will want to keep in touch with what Steve Bell is drawing, in The Guardian

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I stand accused...

 ... of being more Blairite than Blair, in my approach to the diversification of UK state structures, Foundation Hospitals, and all that. 

What is the truth? 


Try BBC News, the public service website

 

 

Other recent topics

  • Confidence is indivisible >>>
  • Socialism inspires liberalism >>>
  • America cannot afford war >>>
  • Police NOT War >>>
  • Am I religious?  >>>
  • All economies are managed >>>
  • Europe needs state pensions >>>
  • Tribune article, Party Reform >>>
  • Devolve to survive >>>
  • The Great Toothpaste Conspiracy>>>
  • Radical Citizenship Reform >>>
  • "Anti-racism" is not enough >>>
  •  IRAQ? Read Counsel's Opinion >>>
  • Baby Bonds: Big Idea >>>
  • New Labour, New Brutalism >>>
  • Spinning the Economy >>>
  • Leave charity law alone >>>
  • "Capital Employed"? A nonsense >>>
  •  
  • And read my own Big Theory itself, at
    Multiple Differential Uncertainty
  •  
  • Also my more practical political thesis about the Corporate Sector and the Left Coming to Terms

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Diary 2002

Now up to date!  I have re-structured my Diary to give you a day-to-day means of looking back, throughout the year just click through

What are your thoughts?  Drop me a line

 


Follow my August 2002 Russian Tour Diary, now unfolding in splendid technicolor - capacity problems have so far limited the scale of how much I can E-publish, but there is still plenty to read -

What are your thoughts?  Drop me a line

 

Week 22
Saturday 31 May
2003

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